Bitcoin Price Action: What to Expect Next

Recent price movements in Bitcoin have left investors worried about what might happen next. However, by looking at key indicators such as the 200-week moving average, Pi Cycle Top Indicator, and Golden Ratio Multiplier, we can get an idea of ​​potential support and resistance levels for Bitcoin.

Are you leaning towards a bearish trend?

Bitcoin has been oscillating in recent weeks, dipping as low as $53,000 before settling in the middle of our newly formed $50,000 to $60,000 range. If this bearish price action continues and price breaks to lower lows, the 200-week moving average heat map (blue line), a historically critical support level, is currently close to $39,000 but is quickly approaching $40,000 (white line). This round psychological level also coincides with the Bitcoin Investor Tool (green line), which has also converged with the 200-week moving average, could serve as potential downside targets.

Figure 1: Converging support levels at $40,000 if the bearish price move continues.

Targets nearby

Above the current price, there are several important levels closer to the current price that investors should keep an eye on. The Pi Cycle Top indicator (upper orange line) suggests a critical resistance level near $62,000, based on the 111-day moving average. The Golden Ratio (lower orange line) indicates that the 350-day moving average, currently near $53,000, has been a solid support level during this market cycle, especially because it is close to the $52,000 technical support and significant psychological support at $50,000.

Figure 2: Immediate support is between $53,000 and $50,000, with immediate resistance between $60,000 and $62,000.

Another cutlet?

In the short term, Bitcoin may well continue to fluctuate between the low $50,000 area and the $60,000 resistance, similar to the range we formed between $70,000 and $60,000, which has resulted in fairly stagnant price action for much of 2024. Despite the recent dips, Bitcoin’s long-term outlook remains promising. Bitcoin has experienced similar periods of price fluctuations in the past before eventually reaching new highs. However, this process may take some time, potentially weeks or even months, before a sustained trend reversal occurs after periods of low volatility.

Figure 3: Monthly volatility is declining rapidly, possibly as BTC finds a new range between $50,000 and $60,000. View the real-time chart 🔍

Conclusion

For long-term investors, it is important to remain calm and not get carried away by daily price changes. Overtrading often leads to bad decisions and losses, and the key is to stick to a strategy, whether it involves accumulating at support levels or profiting at resistance.

Bitcoin’s recent price action has not been perfect, but with simple technical analysis and a clear understanding of support and resistance levels, investors can prepare and react, rather than overreact, to natural market fluctuations.

For a more in-depth look at this topic, check out our recent YouTube video: Bitcoin Price Action: What to Expect Next

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