Quick take
Bitcoin is notoriously unpredictable, which makes market timing a daunting task. There are several investment strategies, including dollar-cost averaging and lump-sum purchasing, each with unique merits.
However, recent research from Fundstrat, shared by Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley, outlines a surprising pattern: Missing the ten best days of Bitcoin returns each year essentially means missing out on the entire year’s profits.
This pattern has remained consistent since 2013. During 2021, a bull market, the first 10 days of the year saw an astonishing 179% return compared to -43% for the other 355 days. By contrast, in a bear market year like 2019, the ten best days still returned a substantial 217% versus a -39% return for the rest of the year, according to Fundstrat.
Interestingly, this pattern appears to be repeating itself in 2024, with the ten best days returning 52%, while the remaining days generated a return of -15%, according to Fundstrat.