Real Vision analyst Jamie Coutts believes the stage is set for an Ethereum rally, but there’s a catch

Real Vision analyst Jamie Coutts believes that Ethereum (ETH) could be on the cusp of a major rally based on several market conditions.

Coutts writes on social media platform X that there is a lot of traction in the crypto space, which could be a sign that the smart contract platform is poised for a major growth spurt.

However, the analyst warns that ETH network activity needs to increase significantly before the uptrend begins.

“As long as the conditions for a rally are forming, Ethereum will struggle to rally without resuming activity. Fees are at four-year lows.

Pros:

  • Level 2 (L2) adoption has been strong, with daily active users growing by 200% over the past year.
  • Global liquidity is growing.
  • Stablecoin supply increases, approaching ATH (all-time highs)
  • Real world asset tokenization (RWA) has grown by 70% to $11.3 billion since the beginning of the year.

On the other side:

  • Some future cash flow estimates are likely to be adjusted due to lower fee expectations and the growing understanding that L2 value accumulation comes at the expense of the long-term L1 (Level 1) outlook.”
Image

Source: Jamie Coutts/X

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,761, up 4% over the past 24 hours.

The analyst also notes that revenues across the entire crypto ecosystem have declined year-on-year.

“Cryptocurrency ecosystem update on two key metrics: Active Addresses (DAU) and Fees (July 2024) 1. Aggregate YoY: DAU up 150%. Fees down 20%.”

Lower fees indicate a decrease in network activity as users are not competing as actively for transactions on crypto networks.

Generated image: DALLE3

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