Bitcoin (BTC) is faced with critical weekends, since trading negotiations at a high level between the United States and China unfold in Switzerland. These negotiations are overshadowed by distrust, duel narratives and a zero compromise in tariffs.
For crypto -markets that are already experiencing macro winds and thinning liquidity, the result or breakdown of these negotiations can cause sharp fluctuations in prices on Monday.
US-China Trade Talks Volatility for bitcoins this weekend
With a low volume of trade characteristic of the weekend, Bitcoin can become a witness to significant volatility in the period from May 10 to 11. The Minister of Finance of the United States recently indicated plans to meet with the Chinese deputy prime minister of He Lifeng in Switzerland during these two days.
The meeting will marked the first official trade negotiations since President Trump increased tariffs for Chinese import to 145%. The result or breakdown of what is happening can aggravate the volatility on weekends.
“Thanks to Potus, the world came to the United States, and China was the missing part – we will meet on Saturday and Sunday to discuss our common interests. The current tariffs and trading barriers are unstable, but we do not want to separate. What we want is fair trade, ”the defect said.
On Thursday, the Chinese embassy in Washington made a dull statement about the meeting. The press secretary directly contradicts us the statements about who initiated the discussions in the statement.
“Negotiations are held at the request of the American side … China will never accept the situation when the United States says one thing, but does another,” he read the excerpt in the statement.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China repeated the message and published a subsequent message through its representative Lin Jian.
“To crush or force China in any way, it simply does not work. We strongly protect our legitimate interests and support international justice and justice, ”Jian wrote.
Rhetoric suggests that Beijing is still skeptical of intentions. This is especially true after Washington confirmed that this would not reduce tariffs before the negotiations.
None of the parties offers specific concessions before the meeting. Based on this, crypto -traders fear that the summit can end with another diplomatic impasse.
Bitcoin, which is suitable for $ 100,000, is especially exhibited because it remains tied to the global risk mood.
Any hint of escalation can act as a catalyst for volatility. And vice versa, even a symbolic thaw in a relationship can cause a rally with relief.
A wider macro background also changes. According to Beincrypto, China reduced interest rates and increased liquidity injections at the beginning of the week. This happens against the background of a broader push to compensate for its internal economic slowdown.
While these stimulation efforts have optimistic consequences for risk assets, geopolitical friction can drown out a signal.
For crypto -traders, concern is whether monetary softening in China can outweigh the unresolved trade war.
Correcting further speculations, US President Donald Trump teased an announcement of a “very important trade transaction” on Friday. He said that this includes a “big and highly respected country.” Although he did not call China, time cannot be ignored.
“A large press conference tomorrow at 10:00 in an oval office regarding a major trade transaction with representatives of a large and highly respected country. The first of many, ”Trump wrote on the truth.
Since the participants in the price of the price in the volatility of the weekend Bitcoin can again serve as a living barometer for geopolitical risk.
If the Switzerland meeting creates a modest road forward, Crypto can benefit from updated confidence of investors. However, if negotiations are destroyed with underfloor and stiffness of tariffs, a wave of liquidation and the desire for safe assets may follow.
This weekend, Bitcoin will not just bargain against schedules; He will bargain against the global balance of power.
